汇丰:即使美伊停战,更多央行仍可能加息

Odaily星球日报讯 汇丰银行经济学家珍妮特·亨利和贝森·埃利斯在一份报告中指出,即使美国和伊朗在短期内达成和平协议,预计仍将有更多央行提高政策利率。他们表示,即使霍尔木兹海峡迅速重新开放,供应冲击的风险及其对全球通胀和增长的影响仍将持续,当前加息更多关乎可信度。
澳大利亚和挪威的央行在冲突前就已面临通胀压力,并希望 5 月的加息是最后一次。欧洲央行和英国央行可能在 6 月或 7 月开始加息,而如果美联储加息,更多新兴市场经济体可能收紧政策。汇丰预计菲律宾将进一步加息,并预计印度和印尼将在下半年加息。(金十)
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