陈桂林谈交易
陈桂林谈交易
There is a trend to play the trend, and there is no trend to play the fluctuation.
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Since Chuanzi saw my X and gained enlightenment...
Big countries can deal with small countries by surrounding them with three and leaving one; that one is negotiation, and the three surrounding it are the bargaining chips for negotiation.
The longer it takes, the more unfavorable it is for Iran, after all, the Americans, the Russians, and the Saudis are all crazily selling oil while prices are high.
As mentioned before, weekends with low volatility are often a good time for trading. Let's talk about some recent observations:
1. Many crypto influencers have turned into AI influencers, which is a good thing, crowded and uncrowded;
2. The crypto market and Ethereum have gone from being widely criticized to being largely ignored;
3. Most importantly, during this process, the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum have not been driven down, and altcoins are also improving their patterns.
It's Monday, let's get moving! 😁
I looked around and couldn't understand anything, so let's try opening some Ether $ETH.
What was I saying? Since the day the big coin started to drop, I've consistently said that 75,000 is an important observation point. If it doesn't break below that, don't short. My viewpoint has never changed. This morning when I posted, the big coin was still over 76,000;
I've provided my viewpoint, response strategies, and operations. If you're still being repeatedly harvested by the bulls and bears, then it's definitely not my problem.
陈桂林谈交易
$BTC might really have to follow what I said, after some grinding it went up again,
If the iron-headed mixed brands aren't making money, it's definitely not your problem, it's the market's issue. Hang in there, be patient, it won't be quick.
Opportunities in the crypto world are still like a dead cat bouncing, but catching them is indeed a bit difficult;
You can choose not to participate, or look for some very standard targets to invest in, like $HYPE.
$BTC might really have to follow what I said, after some grinding it went up again,
If the iron-headed mixed brands aren't making money, it's definitely not your problem, it's the market's issue. Hang in there, be patient, it won't be quick.
Opportunities in the crypto world are still like a dead cat bouncing, but catching them is indeed a bit difficult;
You can choose not to participate, or look for some very standard targets to invest in, like $HYPE.
陈桂林谈交易
Regarding Bitcoin $BTC, a viewpoint that has been discussed recently is: "If you don't like it, you don't have to trade, but it's not yet time to short." Today, I will break down the logic of the fundamental analysis for you:
On the indicators: Many people see the daily MACD has crossed bearish, so they short it, which is certainly not wrong. However, it is important to note that this is a bearish cross above the zero line. The probability of a pullback or continuation after a bearish cross above the zero line is greater than that of a reversal; this is the first point.
Then someone might say: Wasn't there also a daily MACD bearish cross above the zero line at the end of January 2026, which led to a direct drop? I can only say:
1. Look at the price; the price at that time was different from the price now. The same technical indicators and candlestick patterns can behave differently at different absolute price levels.
2. Look at the support; during that MACD bearish cross, the candlestick directly fell into the lower range, whereas this time, the MACD has been bearish for 3 days, and the candlestick remains above the range without entering it; (Figure 1)
The upper edge of the entire lower range is not a single line but a range defense line built by bulls at the 73000-75000 level. This range was tested with a breakthrough and retest from April 17 to April 20, which is why I say that as long as Bitcoin does not break below 75000, we can only expect sideways movement and cannot short from the left side.
Here, Bitcoin can completely choose to consolidate instead of falling, either just above 75000 or within the 73000-75000 range to digest the indicators before making another upward move to continue hitting higher points.
In this process, I believe the opportunity in the crypto space lies in the dead cat bounce, just like yesterday's dogecoin:native;
Do you think 10% is not enough excitement? Are you thinking about what to do? Can you catch the meme coins? Are you willing to take a position? In this terrible market, the opportunity to confidently take a position is already sufficient.
The crude oil short position is moving too slowly, I don't want to hold it anymore; this asset is quite strange, it doesn't feel secure to trade it;
Holding a long position in $XAG (profitable), medium to short-term swing;
Holding a position in $NVDA, building up, medium to long-term;
Holding a position in $HOOD, currently at a loss, medium to long-term.
The May Day holiday is starting, for those trading domestic gold and silver, I hope you see a big jump after the holiday.
Happy holidays, everyone!~
I am happy every day because I am on holiday every day~
陈桂林谈交易
1. Action: This morning I went long on oil at 108, but later realized I didn't add to my oil position, so I opened a long position in silver at 72.
2. Reflection: It feels like I've transitioned from the crypto pit to the gold, silver, and oil pit. There's a bit of a difference, but it doesn't feel particularly significant.
3. WHY: There's no choice; my lack of understanding and research ability has led to me missing the AI switch in the US stock market. I didn't get in when it was low during the big rise, and now I'm definitely too scared to chase it at a high. So, I can only roll around in the pit and see which one feels a bit more comfortable.
4. Heavy mood: I lost the bet on the $HOOD earnings report, and now I'm stuck in a mess~ Although I had some expectations, I still feel like it dropped too hard. As long as it doesn't crash, everything can be discussed. Praying! 🙏
If you can't beat them, join them. I took on some female students to show respect. $NVDA
I might have offended some people these past few days. I went through a lot of creators' reply sections and found that compared to others, my reply section has a lot of local visitors, and it's been continuous for several days.
Bots, you all should get a blue V, otherwise you won't be able to reply.
陈桂林谈交易
Storing up after Intel, after Intel it's the big girls, after the big girls it's Google; if you're not on this AI train, what else could it be but a bear market?
Every day I'm on edge making trades, feeling like I've hit the jackpot when I make 5% or 10%, and then I accidentally get stuck. Meanwhile, my neighbors are either doubling their investments or doubling again, I'm really exhausted.