交易员法老

Pharaoh Trading good buddy @比特帝法老唯一助理

Spring has come, let's enjoy the flowers together Want to Learn together 👇$BTC $ETH $SOL $DOGE $KAT

Pharaoh's Market Analysis: Family, were you a bit confused by the market manipulation yesterday? Don't panic, it's all in the script! Yesterday, I specifically posted a warning, saying that BTC is likely to follow "Script Two"—which means going up to hunt some shorts. Look, those two highs at 77800 and 78200, weren't they all wiped out? This operation had no issues at all, after all, the funding rate was negative like crazy at that time. If they don't liquidate you short traders, how will the market makers survive? Now that the first round of hunting is over, many are asking: is it time to test that parallel top at 79400? Let me share a heartfelt thought. Although I don't like to play the hindsight game, I've always felt that if we don't test that gap near 80000, this move won't be considered "perfect." Now that we're back at the doorstep of 79400, I think there's a good chance we can break through that parallel top this time! My ideal script is as follows: BTC charges straight through, even touching the 80000-81000 range, which is a major resistance level on the weekly chart! After breaking through, it then crashes down hard, creating a false breakout to trap those who chased the highs. This is the move I most want to see; it didn't happen before, but now the timing seems right. Of course, to follow this path, we need the cooperation of the short traders. As long as the funding rate remains this absurdly negative, this will happen. So how should we retail investors operate? Today, it's likely we will first see a pullback. Watch the 76600 level; if it can hold here, don't hesitate, consider taking a short-term long position to profit from a breakout above 79400. Once we truly reach the high-pressure zone of 80000-81000, we can then build our long-term short positions! Remember, the market is always right; we follow the funding rate, don't fight against it! Follow Pharaoh, and wealth won't get lost! $BTC $ETH $SOL #CLARITY法案：稳定币收益规则定稿 #以太坊基金会两周出售$4700万ETH #加密VC四月断崖：融资暴跌74%

Pharaoh's Market Analysis: Brothers, Pharaoh is back! Is this market crazy? The US stock market has shot up to the sky! Last night, those tech giants collectively reported outstanding earnings, and their market values have set new records. Just look at Google, it surged 10% in one day, and if it rises another 5%, it will surpass Nvidia to become the global leader. But let's keep an eye on Bitcoin, how is it moving now? It's passively following the US stocks, and the increase isn't that significant, which is a typical sign of "lack of strength." To be honest, in the face of such a bull market in US stocks, the fluctuations in the crypto market actually resemble bear market characteristics. You see Bitcoin is still holding up, but ETH and SOL are really struggling, unable to reach their previous highs. SOL hasn't even surpassed its March high, clearly showing weakness. I estimate that when US stocks eventually rise too much and correct, the crypto market will likely follow with a significant pullback. At the current position of Bitcoin, around 77,700 (77.7k) is a strong resistance level. We previously took profits on our short positions, and now that it's bouncing back, it's actually a good time to reposition. But don't be too greedy, take small steps, and secure some profits. With the US stocks being so strong, it's hard for Bitcoin to drop significantly. Let's wait until this momentum passes before making further moves. We're back to our favorite "swing trading" rhythm, just hold on tight! Bitcoin around 78,700-80,000 can be a medium-term setup, waiting for a correction in US stocks, Bitcoin will likely follow with a pullback! Let's keep an eye on it together! Follow Pharaoh, and wealth won't get lost! $BTC $ETH $DOGE #特朗普称冲突已结束：伊朗提妥协方案 #CLARITY法案：稳定币收益规则定稿 #加密VC四月断崖：融资暴跌74%

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Brothers, grab a seat and listen to me for a moment, the international situation is about to change again. That crazy guy Trump has gone off the rails again, directly stating: he does not rule out tearing up the Iran ceasefire agreement and will continue to stir things up. He really thinks Iran's attitude is too rigid, making communication impossible, and even boldly claims that the U.S. has completely destroyed Iran's nuclear capabilities. I don't understand politics, but the signal is very clear—once this war really breaks out, have you thought about the consequences? • Oil prices will definitely skyrocket • Gold will immediately become hard currency • The crypto market will directly go on a roller coaster The market variables are too great, everyone must operate cautiously lately, protect your capital, and don't be reckless! Follow Pharaoh, and wealth won't get lost! 🙏$BTC $ETH $DOGE #美联储4月利率决议：罕见4票反对 #马斯克vs奥特曼：$1300亿AI世纪庭审 #加密立法525：无确定推进日期

Pharaoh's Trading Insights: This year, I met a student who went from being 300,000 in debt to earning 5 million in a year. I didn't rely on luck; I relied on these 4 "foolish rules." Last year, he failed in his business and was heavily in debt; at that time, he was so poor he couldn't even afford instant noodles. Later, he dove into the crypto world, reviewing trades like a madman, and managed to pay off his debts using this set of simple methods. Now, his account consistently has eight figures. Today, I'm not here to make empty promises or boast; he has broken down this set of rules with an 85% win rate and is feeding it to you. Want to turn your situation around? Be patient and read to the end. Step 1: Choose a Wife—uh, I mean, Choose a Coin Stop staring at the 5-minute and 15-minute charts; you'll go blind. Just look at the daily chart. Open MACD and only look for coins that have a golden cross above the zero line. Turn off all other indicators; looking at too many is just noise that interferes with your mindset. Step 2: Date—Hold On and Don't Move Once you've chosen a coin, how do you hold it? Just look at the 30-day or 60-day moving average (braid moving average). Remember this: buy on a bearish candle above the line, sell on a bullish candle below the line. As long as the price is resting above the moving average, you hold on—drink tea, sleep, play games—don't keep asking, "Why isn't it going up yet?" If it breaks the moving average? Don't guess the top, don't hold onto your position, don't fantasize about it coming back; just walk away. Step 3: Have Kids—Know When to Add to Your Position When is it safe to add to your position? It must be when the coin price is firmly above the moving average, and the trading volume suddenly spikes, at least one and a half times the usual. Any price increase without volume is just a scam; if there's no volume, don't act—just watch the show. Step 4: Break Up—You Have to Run When It's Time How to sell when you're making money? Don't be greedy. • If you've made 30%-40%, sell half first to recoup your capital; • If you're lucky and it hits 70%-80%, sell everything, leave nothing behind; • The most important rule: if one day it accidentally breaks below the moving average, regardless of whether you're in profit or loss, sell everything immediately! Don't hold onto false hopes; although this situation is rare, risk control must be done. What if you miss the peak? No worries, wait for it to get back above the moving average with volume, and we can re-enter later. Does this method sound particularly silly? Particularly foolish? But in the crypto world, foolish methods are the way to survive. I am Pharaoh; follow me, learn to be calm, learn to wait. The money in the crypto world is never-ending; the key is whether you have the patience to pick it up. Let me help you turn on this cash machine. 🚀$BTC $ETH $DOGE #BTC大会闭幕：去中心化叙事之争 #KelpDAO自救：$7100万ETH能否解冻 #美联储4月利率决议：罕见4票反对

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Looking back at historical data, when inflation is as "off the charts" as it is now, BTC and U.S. stocks typically face significant selling pressure, resulting in a classic "tight trading" market. 📉 U.S. Stocks: Valuations are crushed, tech stocks are the hardest hit. The historical pattern is clear: inflation is the nemesis of the stock market. • Valuation Kill: Once inflation spirals out of control, the Federal Reserve will aggressively raise interest rates. When rates are high, future money for companies becomes worthless, and stock market valuations (PE) will be severely compressed. • Painful Lesson: During the "stagflation" period from 1970 to 1980, the annualized return of U.S. stocks was only 3.3%; at the peak of inflation in 2022, the Nasdaq, dominated by tech stocks, also plummeted nearly 50%. ⚡ BTC: From "anti-inflation" to "high risk" Bitcoin's performance during high inflation periods actually divides into two phases, and the current scenario is closer to the second phase: 1. Early Stage (Liquidity Flood): Just like in 2020-2021, although inflation rose, the Federal Reserve was still injecting money. With too much money and nowhere to go, funds would flow into high-risk assets like BTC, treating it as "digital gold" and driving its price up. 2. Mid to Late Stage (Tightening Panic): This is our current situation. When inflation is too high, forcing the Federal Reserve to "tighten up," assets like BTC, which have no cash flow, will drop even harder than stocks. 2022 is an example, with BTC plummeting over 65% for the year, even underperforming the stock market. In simple terms, as long as PCE data remains high and the Federal Reserve dares not lower interest rates, the market will continue to trade on the logic of "tight money." At this point, both U.S. stocks and BTC will likely have to endure until inflation truly turns downward. Follow Pharaoh, and wealth won't get lost! $BTC $ETH $DOGE #美伊持续封锁：油价创四年新高 #BTC大会闭幕：去中心化叙事之争 #马斯克vs奥特曼：$1300亿AI世纪庭审

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Brothers, it's gone crazy! The inflation data has really exploded this time, and the interest rate cuts that everyone has been hoping for are probably completely off the table in the short term. The freshly released U.S. March PCE data shot up to 3.5%, hitting a nearly three-year high. To put it simply, prices are starting to soar again, and we can mainly blame it on oil prices. The situation in the Middle East has been unstable, and when oil prices rise, overall inflation gets dragged up with it. Previously, the market was dreaming of an early interest rate cut and liquidity boost, but after seeing this data, everyone has basically woken up. The Federal Reserve is not daring to cut rates in the short term, and even the expectations for rate hikes have been raised again. The current situation is: inflation rebounding, energy prices rising, and interest rate cuts falling through. The overall environment has tightened again, so we shouldn't be too optimistic about the stock market and the crypto space; the market is likely to continue to fluctuate and frustrate us. During this time, everyone should operate cautiously and avoid blindly chasing highs with heavy positions; preserving capital is the most important thing!

Pharaoh's Market Analysis: There are benefits at the end of the article! Pharaoh is online. Recently, is the market making you feel anxious? On one side, oil prices are soaring, and on the other, Bitcoin is crashing down. Don't panic; Pharaoh slept better than anyone last night because—it's another crazy day of making money! 【BTC Review: Why Am I Not Afraid of the Drop?】 Let's talk about Bitcoin first. Yesterday's plunge was 3000 points! How many people got liquidated? But let me tell you, Pharaoh told you to short at 79255; that was the first wave of fat meat, and I exited at 7065. Yesterday, when it rebounded to around 75000, I spoke again: continue to short! Why is it so accurate? Because this position has strong support; it's a previous consolidation area, and the main force will definitely stir things up a bit here. But this is just a continuation, not a reversal! 【BTC Operations: Where to Short? How to Short?】 Many people ask me: "Pharaoh, can we short now?" Listen carefully, don't act rashly! Don't rush to chase the current price. Where is the real battlefield? At the two positions of 77800 and 79000! If it reaches these two positions, you can short in batches; holding long-term is also fine! First, look at the strong support near 75000; if it breaks below 75000, then look at the 72000 line! It's still very promising! These two places are obvious resistance levels; the main force will need to catch its breath before pushing up. Wait for the price to bounce to this area, and then we can ambush in batches. Or, if you want to play it safe? Then keep an eye on the news about US-Iran talks. Once they hint, "We are going to talk," BTC will definitely dive along with oil prices, and at that time, shorting at a high position will be as steady as an old dog! 【Oil Script: Is Trump Going to Crash the Market Again?】 Now, let's talk about oil; it's already at 110, approaching the previous high of 120. Let me give you a heads-up, don't chase the long positions at this level; the risk is extremely high. Why? Because the one who understands (Trump) is about to take action. Oil prices are too high; the US can't stand it. You see, in the past, he would randomly tweet (or now post on Truth Social), saying, "I have reached a significant agreement with Iran," even if it hasn't been signed yet, oil prices would immediately plummet. So, oil is suitable for low-leverage long-term ambushes. You might not make money going in now, and you might even have to endure, but as soon as the news of talks comes out, it will be a direct 20% waterfall! This kind of meat is worth waiting for! 【Pharaoh's Achievements: No Joking, Really Made a Lot】 Finally, let's talk about last night's results. Pharaoh called for a rebound to short, and I executed directly: shorted 300,000 USDT in BTC and 400,000 USDT in ETH. What was the result? As soon as the Federal Reserve meeting started at midnight, boom, the waterfall came. The money made that night, to be honest, achieved my small goal for the year! This is the rhythm; this is the discipline. 【Conclusion】 Don't always think about going all in to make a billion. In the crypto world, declines are not linear; there are all kinds of ups and downs in between. We are like wolves, biting off one piece at a time. Shorted at 79000 yesterday, shorted at 76000 today, and wait to short again at 77000 tomorrow. Keep up with Pharaoh's rhythm, and we will slowly get rich! Meeting adjourned! $BTC $ETH $DOGE #美伊持续封锁：油价创四年新高 #BTC大会闭幕：去中心化叙事之争 #预测市场战：CFTC起诉第5州

Pharaoh's Market Analysis: Is BTC sluggish during the holiday? Be careful, the main force might be plotting something big! These past few days, Bitcoin's movements have been quite boring, but we can't afford to truly sleep. If you look at the charts, you'll see that BTC during this holiday is completely in a "grinding" pattern, just hanging there and refusing to drop. But brothers, don't be fooled by this calm. The funding rate is ridiculously negative, and with three consecutive bearish candles, the selling pressure is actually quite heavy. This creates a contradiction: clearly, someone is selling, but it just won't drop, remaining in a narrow range. What does this indicate? It shows that the main force doesn't want you to comfortably short. As we mentioned before, the way this market has risen is likely the way it will fall back. Initially, it climbed with "a little rise, a little pullback"; now, it's the opposite, with "a little drop, a little rebound" grinding down. This kind of movement is the most frustrating, especially with the funding rates being so extreme. If it doesn't rebound to wipe out those stop-loss orders from late buyers, the main force won't be able to clean up properly. So how should we look at the next steps? Pharaoh will outline two scenarios for you: Scenario 1: A false breakout followed by a waterfall (higher probability) Currently, there is a gap on the 4-hour chart around 77000, and there are a lot of short positions waiting to be filled at 77200. I think the main force is likely to pretend to rebound first, fill the gap at 77000, take out the shorts above, and then turn around and crash. Why do I say this? Because the current rebound has no volume, which is a typical "low-volume false breakout"; this structure is most likely to follow this route. Scenario 2: Violent washout, directly targeting higher ground The negative funding rate is too severe right now, and the entire market is guessing the top to short. The main force goes against human nature; what if it doesn't play by the rules and directly breaks through the previous highs at 77800 and 78200, or even touches the liquidity pool at 78500, or goes even higher to the psychological level of 97400? Although it's far-fetched, if it really happens, it would be an extremely violent "stop-loss hunt," and the shorts would be instantly buried. Now, the key point: what should we do? If you're shorting, heed my advice: don't rush! 1. Best short entry point: If the price really rebounds to the 77000-77200 range and shows clear signs of resistance (like long upper shadows or increased volume with stagnation), then short at that point, targeting 74500, or even 72000. 2. Defensive strategy: If it can't even push above 77000, or if it comes down without giving you time to react, then wait. If it really pushes to 78200 or even higher, we can give up on the fish head and wait for it to make a high before entering when the pattern breaks down. Remember this: at this position, a sharp drop can easily lead to a V-shaped rebound, but a bottom formed through grinding is often a trap. We don't seek to go all in for maximum profit; we just want to steadily catch the body of the fish. Follow Pharaoh, and wealth won't get lost! $ETH $BTC $DOGE #美伊持续封锁：油价创四年新高 #KelpDAO自救：$7100万ETH能否解冻 #美联储4月利率决议：罕见4票反对

5.1 Economic Calendar: Today's Data Highlights and Trading Tips On the first day of the May Day holiday, although the market has entered "vacation mode," global economic data and events still hold hidden insights, and traders need to plan ahead. Core Data and Event Overview 14:00 UK House Price Index: Reflects the health of the UK real estate market; if the data exceeds expectations, it may boost the pound's performance. 14:30 Swiss Retail Sales: A key indicator of Swiss consumer activity; high values may strengthen the Swiss franc's resilience. 16:30 UK Manufacturing PMI: The "barometer" of the UK economy; if the final value remains above the line of expansion and contraction, it will be favorable for the pound; concurrently released mortgage approval data is related to the funding situation in the UK housing market. 21:45 US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final Value: A key data point that revises the previous value; if the final value is higher than expected, it may support a stronger dollar. 22:00 US ISM Manufacturing PMI: The "barometer" of US manufacturing; fluctuations around the expansion and contraction line (50) directly affect the market's judgment of US economic resilience, which in turn impacts gold and non-USD currency trends. Next Day 01:00 US Oil Rig Count: A forward-looking indicator for the crude oil market; changes in the rig count may signal future shifts in crude oil supply, affecting oil price fluctuations. Trading Strategy Tips Today's data density is relatively low, but the US Manufacturing PMI and oil rig count may still trigger localized market movements. Traders are advised to: Start with light positions: Market liquidity is likely to be weak during the holiday, so avoid heavy bets on single data points. Watch for correlations: The dollar's performance may be driven by US PMI data, which in turn affects gold and non-USD currencies; the oil rig count is directly related to the crude oil industry chain. Prioritize risk control: Set stop-loss orders in advance to avoid potential gap risks after data releases. The economic calendar is the "navigation tool" for trading; grasping the rhythm of key data is essential for steady progress in holiday market conditions. $BTC $ETH $DOGE #美伊持续封锁：油价创四年新高 #BTC大会闭幕：去中心化叙事之争 #KelpDAO自救：$7100万ETH能否解冻

Pharaoh's Market Analysis: If Bitcoin can pull up a strong bullish candle with volume at 76500 during the day today, this round of rebound could see levels of 77000 or even 78000! If it can't hold above 76500, then it might drop below the remaining new lows! $BTC $ETH $SOL #美联储4月利率决议：罕见4票反对 #美伊走向长期封锁：外交窗口关闭 #KelpDAO自救：$7100万ETH能否解冻