無名先生

無名先生

Main Field|#Airdrops • Financial analyst, information porter!

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無名先生
無名先生
🚨 The biggest crash has already begun It's not stocks It's not Bitcoin And it's not precious metals But rather—stablecoin dominance
無名先生
無名先生
📉 Why the stock market might crash: Part One: Lessons from the 1973 Oil Crisis The author believes the current situation is similar to 1973: Back then, global oil supply decreased by about 5–7%, leading to a severe market crash. Now, about 20% of demand is affected, making the situation worse. S&P 500 in 1973: Dropped about 20% after the embargo was announced. The real crash occurred after the crisis ended (another 40% drop). 👉 Key Point: Markets usually react with a lag to real economic damage. Part Two: Risks of Private Credit Private credit is highly leveraged. Default rates have risen to about 5.8%. Investors are withdrawing large amounts of capital. 👉 If these funds encounter problems: → Banks will be impacted. → It could trigger systemic risk. Major risk signals: 1️⃣ Oil shock 2️⃣ Inverted yield curve 3️⃣ Large-scale insider selling (⚠️ questionable) 4️⃣ Extreme risk appetite Historical analogy: Great Depression The author believes the current situation is similar to 1929. 👉 Suggested allocation: Gold & Silver Author's position: Short S&P 500 at 6400–7100. Believes it is close to the top.
無名先生
無名先生
🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 It is reported that before the opening of the US stock market tomorrow, so-called "insiders" are making large purchases of risk assets. Current data shows: 0 sell orders 917 buy orders Total transaction volume of approximately $8.91 billion It looks like the market may be about to experience a surge.
無名先生
無名先生
$BTC The current structure looks like this👇 It resembles a Wyckoff distribution Many people already feel that👇 👉 It's "obvious" that it will drop next But what the market loves to do is👇 👉 Slap the "obvious" in the face
無名先生
無名先生
Conditions for a bullish outlook (breakthrough 80K) Must hold above 78K–79K (not just a false breakout) There should be spot trading/ETF inflows during the upward movement After breaking through 80K, it should not drop below on the pullback (confirming it becomes support) 👉 Only if these conditions are met, is there a chance for a true breakout.
無名先生
無名先生
In less than 6 hours, Hyperliquid's trading volume on its sole HIP-4 trading pair ($BTC daily change) has surpassed that of Polymarket. Polymarket's trading volume is calculated by "shares": 👉 Each trade of 1 share = $1 in trading volume Therefore: Polymarket: 79,500 shares Hyperliquid: 89,253 (corresponding to a higher nominal transaction)
無名先生
無名先生
🚨 BREAKING It is reported that before the opening of the US stock market on Monday, so-called "insiders" are heavily selling off all assets except for oil. Current data shows: 0 buys 1492 sells Total transaction volume of approximately $23.76 billion This does not seem like a good signal for the market.
無名先生
無名先生
History Repeats: When Jerome Powell became the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve in February 2018, the S&P 500 (SPY) dropped by 4%. Now the market expects a new chairman to take office, and the first FOMC meeting will be held in June. Historical data shows that during the early term of a new chairman, the market's maximum average drawdown is about -20%. But it's important to note: 👉 This conclusion is based on historical statistics and is not a certainty.
無名先生
無名先生
🚨 Breaking: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF has purchased approximately $284 million worth of Bitcoin. After accumulating about $2 billion in April, May is off to a strong start.
無名先生
無名先生
🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 There are rumors that an "insider trader" associated with Donald Trump opened a $40 million short position on Bitcoin before making an important statement today. It is said that this trader previously predicted all market trends and made over $50 million in profit from just two trades. He may have some information… 👀